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Major League Soccer

New York City
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Nashville

NY City
2 - 1
Nashville

Parks (11'), Chanot (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Williams (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Nashville SC

All competitions
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawNashville SC
51.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)25.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)22.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 49.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (0.0049999999999955 0)53.22% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (0.004999999999999 0)74.78% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)38.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)75.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 51.95%
    Nashville SC 22.87%
    Draw 25.16%
New York City FCDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-0 @ 9.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 51.95%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.53%
1-2 @ 5.73%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 22.87%

How you voted: NY City vs Nashville

New York City FC
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Nashville SC
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 9.30pm
Nashville
2-0
NY City
Zimmerman (34'), Shaffelburg (80')
Shaffelburg (58')

Cufre (28'), Magno (62'), Andrade (75'), Chanot (90+3')
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
NY City
0-0
Nashville

Moralez (70'), Gray (88')
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Nashville
3-1
NY City
Williams (30', 68'), Latinovich (32' og.)
Muyl (71'), Williams (73'), Haakenson (89')
McCarty (45')
Castellanos (90')
Medina (38'), Castellanos (64'), Acevedo (73')
Moralez (45')
Apr 26, 2020 10pm
NY City
P-P
Nashville