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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
FC Cincinnati

Nashville
0 - 1
Cincinnati

FT(HT: 0-0)
Vazquez (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 1-0 Nashville
Saturday, March 18 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawFC Cincinnati
52.02% (0.012 0.01)23.35% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)24.63% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.76% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.99% (0.116 0.12)44.01% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (0.112 0.11)66.39% (-0.114 -0.11)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (0.046999999999997 0.05)16.94% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98% (0.082999999999998 0.08)47.02% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33% (0.069000000000003 0.07)31.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (0.082000000000001 0.08)68.08% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 52.02%
    FC Cincinnati 24.63%
    Draw 23.35%
Nashville SCDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.52% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 52.02%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 24.63%

How you voted: Nashville vs Cincinnati

Nashville SC
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-6
Nashville
Romney (6' og.), Brenner (17' pen.), Vazquez (32')
Cameron (35'), Acosta (70')
Zimmerman (28'), Leal (45+2', 76'), Sapong (71', 90+2'), Loba (80')
Lovitz (21')
Jul 25, 2021 1.30am
Nashville
3-0
Cincinnati
Sapong (13', 57'), Leal (35')
Sapong (68'), Williams (84')

Vallecilla (38'), Cameron (81')
Apr 18, 2021 1.30am
Nashville
2-2
Cincinnati
Cadiz (20'), Leal (64')
Muyl (18'), Johnston (66')
Acosta (8'), Brenner (12' pen.)
Mokotjo (38'), Stanko (77')
May 31, 2020 12.30am