Atlanta United
Austin FC
Montreal Impact
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
Nashville
New England Revolution
New York City
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas
St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Toyota Park
FC Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
3 - 3
Cincinnati

Przybylko (32'), Czichos (45' pen.), Mueller (46')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moreno (8', 87'), Santos (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
49.64% (-0.304 -0.3)24.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)25.69% (0.336 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.53% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (0.40000000000001 0.4)48.79% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (0.362 0.36)70.89% (-0.36200000000001 -0.36)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (0.032999999999987 0.03)19.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.33% (0.053999999999995 0.05)51.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.64% (0.494 0.49)33.36% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.02% (0.538 0.54)69.98% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 49.64%
    FC Cincinnati 25.69%
    Draw 24.66%
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 49.64%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.69%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
FC Cincinnati
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
May 15, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Cincinnati
Duran (83')
Czichos (33' og.), Acosta (85')
Moreno (8'), Acosta (21')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-4
Chicago Fire
Acosta (28'), Vazquez (36'), Blackett (90+1')
Bailey (30'), Gyau (48'), Cameron (80')
Beric (14', 17'), Medran (71'), Stojanovic (90+3')
Kappelhof (45+1'), Navarro (68'), Slonina (79')
Jun 24, 2021 1am
Sep 3, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!