Major League Soccer

Mar 12, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Talen Energy Stadium

Philadelphia
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Torres (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY City
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Chicago Fire
58.38% ( -0.63)	21.65% ( 0.23)	19.97% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 56.12% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.15% (

-0.47)

41.85% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.75% (

-0.48)

64.25% (

0.48)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.95% (

-0.35)

14.05% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.38% (

-0.69)

41.62% (

0.69)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.3% (

0.13)

34.7% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.57% (

0.14)

71.43% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 58.38%

Chicago Fire 19.97%

Draw 21.64%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.38%	1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.64%	1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.97%