Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
30.32% ( -0.33) | 24.94% ( 0.07) | 44.74% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 56.06% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.96% ( -0.46) | 47.03% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.72% ( -0.44) | 69.27% ( 0.43) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.02% ( -0.46) | 28.97% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.13% ( -0.56) | 64.87% ( 0.56) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.93% ( -0.08) | 21.06% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.12% ( -0.12) | 53.87% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.32% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |