Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.