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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Gillette Stadium
Nashville

New England
1 - 0
Nashville

Bou (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 4-0 New England
Monday, March 13 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Montreal
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New England Revolution in this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawNashville SC
50.28% (0.614 0.61)26% (-0.36 -0.36)23.72% (-0.25 -0.25)
Both teams to score 47.62% (0.749 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.41% (1.11 1.11)55.6% (-1.106 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (0.901 0.9)76.76% (-0.89700000000001 -0.9)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (0.73999999999999 0.74)22.17% (-0.736 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.44% (1.101 1.1)55.56% (-1.097 -1.1)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18% (0.387 0.39)38.82% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (0.366 0.37)75.55% (-0.36200000000001 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 50.28%
    Nashville SC 23.72%
    Draw 26%
New England RevolutionDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-0 @ 9.77% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.113 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.154 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.095 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 50.28%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.374 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.265 -0.26)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.72%

How you voted: New England vs Nashville

New England Revolution
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Nashville SC
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2021 12am
May 8, 2021 6.30pm
Nashville
2-0
New England
Sapong (25'), Muyl (75')
Lovitz (28'), Godoy (90+3')

Jones (57')
Oct 24, 2020 1.30am
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
Jul 12, 2020 12.30am