Major League Soccer

May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena, Harrison

NY Red Bulls
0 - 1
Philadelphia

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gazdag (31' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, May 3 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Philadelphia Union
49.46% ( 2.68)	26.97% ( -0.71)	23.58% ( -1.97)

Both teams to score 44.87% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.89% (

1.08)

59.1% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.45% (

0.82)

79.55% (

-0.83)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.96% (

1.76)

24.04% (

-1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.7% (

2.45)

58.3% (

-2.45)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.07% (

-1.21)

40.93% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.5% (

-1.1)

77.5% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 49.45%

Philadelphia Union 23.58%

Draw 26.96%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.4% Total : 49.45%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.67) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.25% Total : 23.58%