Major League Soccer

Apr 2, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Giakoumakis (7', 8')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 6-1 Atlanta
Saturday, March 25 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 25 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	New York Red Bulls
52.94% ( -2.37)	23.43% ( 0.73)	23.63% ( 1.64)

Both teams to score 55.34% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.65% (

-1.42)

45.36% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.31% (

-1.38)

67.69% (

1.38)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9% (

-1.34)

17.1% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.7% (

-2.43)

47.3% (

2.43)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.76% (

0.69)

33.24% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.14% (

0.75)

69.86% (

-0.74)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 52.94%

New York Red Bulls 23.63%

Draw 23.43%

Atlanta United	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.4) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.9% Total : 52.94%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.43%	0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.36% Total : 23.63%