Major League Soccer

Mar 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
3 - 2
Philadelphia

Quioto (3' pen., 90+8'), Offor (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Uhre (46', 60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Montreal
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	Philadelphia Union
42.9% ( -0.51)	25.76% ( 0.02)	31.34% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 53.83% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.83% (

0.12)

50.16% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.87% (

0.11)

72.13% (

-0.11)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75% (

-0.19)

23.25% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.83% (

-0.29)

57.17% (

0.28)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

0.4)

29.86% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.04% (

0.48)

65.95% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 42.89%

Philadelphia Union 31.34%

Draw 25.76%

CF Montreal	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.89%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.28% Total : 31.34%