Major League Soccer
Montreal
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Saputo
Philadelphia
  • Romell Quioto 3' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 90' goal
  • Romell Quioto 90'+8' goal
  • goal Mikael Uhre 46'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 60'

CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 1.30am
Nashville 2 - 0 Montreal
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Kwadwo Opoku

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia 1 - 0 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result

CF Montreal 42.9% ▼ (-0.52)
Draw 25.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Philadelphia Union 31.34% ▲ (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.83% ▲ (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.83% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 50.16% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 27.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 72.13% ▼ (-0.11)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 76.75% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 0.5 23.25% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 1.5 42.83% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 57.17% ▲ (+0.29)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 70.13% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 0.5 29.86% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 34.04% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 1.5 65.95% ▼ (-0.49)

Score analysis

CF Montreal 42.89%
Draw 25.76%
Philadelphia Union 31.34%
CF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 42.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.76%
Philadelphia Union
0-1 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 31.34%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Apr 23, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Montreal
  • Julian Carranza 21' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 55' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 82' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kei Kamara 59'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 61'
  • yellowcard Kamal Miller 90'
  • yellowcard Zorhan Bassong 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Montreal
Mar 5, 2022 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Philadelphia
  • Ismael Kone 20' yellowcard
  • Victor Wanyama 23' yellowcard
  • Lassi Lappalainen 32' goal
  • Rida Zouhir 67' yellowcard
  • goal Alejandro Bedoya 53'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 56'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 64'
  • redcard Julian Carranza 71'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 38
Montreal
Oct 16, 2021 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Philadelphia
  • Matko Miljevic 33' goal
  • Djordje Mihailovic 44' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 75' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sunusi 90'+5' goal
  • goal James Pantemis 63' (OG)
  • goal Kai Wagner 77'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 28
Philadelphia
Aug 22, 2021 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Montreal
  • Olivier Mbaizo 3' yellowcard
  • Jamiro Monteiro 6' yellowcard
  • Quinn Sullivan 87' goal
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choiniere 44'
  • goal Djordje Mihailovic 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kamal Miller 68'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Breza 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Mustafa Kizza 90'+5'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 17
Philadelphia
Oct 12, 2020 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Montreal
  • Jamiro Monteiro 39' goal
  • Sergio Santos 48' goal
  • Olivier Mbaizo 58' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Bedoya 76' yellowcard
  • Matthew Real 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette 55'
  • yellowcard Victor Wanyama 60'
  • goal Amar Sejdic 65'
  • yellowcard Jorge Luis Corrales Cordero 71'
  • yellowcard Jorge Corrales 71'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 11
Montreal
Sep 21, 2020 12.00am
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Red Bull Arena
Philadelphia
  • Romell Quioto 5' goal
  • Romell Quioto 16' redcard
  • goal Alejandro Bedoya 22'
  • yellowcard Andre Blake 28'
  • goal Kacper Przybylko 47'
  • goal Kacper Przybylko 45'+3'
  • goal Anthony Fontana 65'

Form Data

Nashville 2 - 0 Montreal
Austin 1 - 0 Montreal
Inter Miami 2 - 0 Montreal
Montreal 1 - 3 NY City
Montreal 2 - 0 Orlando City
Inter Miami 1 - 3 Montreal
Philadelphia 1 - 0 Chicago Fire
Inter Miami 2 - 0 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 4 - 1 Columbus Crew
Los Angeles 3 - 3 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 3 - 1 NY City
Philadelphia 1 - 0 Cincinnati