Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 66.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 66.04% ( | 19.22% ( | 14.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60% ( | 40% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.64% ( | 62.36% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.71% ( | 11.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.09% ( | 35.91% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.3% ( | 39.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.62% ( | 76.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 3-0 @ 7.75% ( 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 4-0 @ 4.23% ( 4-1 @ 3.91% ( 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 5-0 @ 1.85% ( 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 5-1 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 4.04% Total : 66.04% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.55% 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.22% | 1-2 @ 4.17% ( 0-1 @ 4.14% ( 0-2 @ 1.91% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% 1-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 14.73% |