Philadelphia Union are near impenetrable on home turf and we expect Curtin's side to turn-up at Subaru Park once again. Orlando City are currently struggling to find their footing so we fancy a slender victory for the home side in this one.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 72.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 10.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
