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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Park
New York Red Bulls

Chicago Fire
1 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Kamara (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Burke (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, April 23 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew York Red Bulls
50.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)23.59% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 47.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.19% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.0019999999999989 0)76.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.88% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.29% (0.0039999999999978 0)38.71% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)75.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 50.54%
    New York Red Bulls 23.59%
    Draw 25.86%
Chicago FireDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.87%
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 50.54%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 23.59%

Head to Head
May 19, 2022 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
3-3
Chicago Fire
Morgan (20' pen.), Harper (58'), Klimala (90+1')
Harper (26'), Edwards (63'), Nealis (66')
Mueller (38'), Omsberg (49'), Shaqiri (89')
Teran (1'), Espinoza (19'), Navarro (70'), Omsberg (85')
May 1, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Shaqiri (17' pen.)
Czichos (37'), Navarro (45+1'), Duran (71')
Duran (80'), Czichos (83')
Klimala (75', 90+1')
Fletcher (15'), Tolkin (27'), Klimala (65')
Aug 28, 2021 11pm
gameweek 27
NY Red Bulls
0-1
Chicago Fire

Reyes (73'), Duncan (78')
Beric (32')
Teran Diaz (81')
Aug 8, 2021 11pm
gameweek 24
Chicago Fire
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Stojanovic (2', 8')
Offor (90+6')
Barlow (90+7')
Edwards (21'), Davis (39'), Tarek (69'), Gutman (77')
May 1, 2021 6pm
gameweek 4
NY Red Bulls
2-0
Chicago Fire
Casseres Jr (47'), Clark (64')
Davis (42')

Sekulic (44'), Calvo (62')