Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 42.87% | 25.26% | 31.88% |
| Both teams to score 55.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.2% | 47.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% | 69.98% |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% | 22.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% | 55.68% |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% | 28.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% | 64.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.12% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.87% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.88% |