Major League Soccer

Mar 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 0
Inter Miami

Osorio (48'), Kaye (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-1 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY City 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Inter Miami
56.54% ( 0.67)	23.32% ( 0.12)	20.13% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 50.92% (

-1.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.11% (

-1.51)

48.89% (

1.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02% (

-1.38)

70.98% (

1.38)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.91% (

-0.31)

17.09% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.72% (

-0.54)

47.27% (

0.53)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.42% (

-1.68)

38.58% (

1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.67% (

-1.64)

75.32% (

1.63)

Score Analysis

Toronto 56.53%

Inter Miami 20.13%

Draw 23.32%

Toronto	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.94% Total : 56.53%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.32%	0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.13%