Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 9.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 13' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 90'+9' goal
  • goal Kacper Przybylko 90'

Atlanta United vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Toronto 2 - 2 Atlanta
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Giorgos Giakoumakis

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire 2 - 2 Philadelphia
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Maren Haile-Selassie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result

Atlanta United 58.35% (-0.02)
Draw 21.5% (+0.01)
Chicago Fire 20.14% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.91% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.05% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 40.94% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 36.66% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 63.34% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 19.52% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.47% (+0.02)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 86.24% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 13.76% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 58.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 41.05% (+0.03)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 65.99% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.01% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 29.31% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 70.69% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 58.35%
Draw 21.5%
Chicago Fire 20.14%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.28% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.2%
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.09% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 58.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.01% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.35%
0-0 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.5%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 5.4% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 20.14%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 30, 2022 10.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jhon Duran 41' yellowcard
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Sosa 81'
  • yellowcard Dom Dwyer 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2022 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Ronaldo Cisneros 3' goal
  • Ronaldo Cisneros 27' goal
  • Ronaldo Cisneros 36' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Brooks Lennon 90'+1' goal
  • goal Chinonso Offor 11'
  • yellowcard Miguel Navarro 30'
  • yellowcard Chinonso Offor 36'
  • yellowcard Chris Mueller 72'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 13
Jul 4, 2021 1.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jonathan Bornstein 26' yellowcard
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 31' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Aliseda 34' goal
  • Ignacio Aliseda 45'+6' goal
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 58' goal
  • yellowcard George Bello 27'
  • yellowcard Tyler Wolff 52'
  • yellowcard Anton Walkes 69'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Apr 25, 2021 1.00am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Ezequiel Barco 23' goal
  • Jake Mulraney 27' yellowcard
  • Johan Kappelhof 66' goal
  • Ezequiel Barco 70' yellowcard
  • Emerson Hyndman 81' yellowcard
  • Emerson Hyndman 85' goal
  • goal Luka Stojanovic 46'
  • yellowcard Gaston Gimenez 90'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 13
Sep 28, 2020 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Fabian Herbers 7' goal
  • Robert Beric 39' goal
  • yellowcard Mo 85'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 42
Sep 19, 2020 8.30pm