Major League Soccer

Apr 23, 2023 at 9.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Giakoumakis (13'), Haile-Selassie (90+9' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Przybylko (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Chicago Fire
58.35% ( -0.01)	21.5% ( 0.01)	20.14% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.91% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.05% (

-0.01)

40.94% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.66% (

-0.01)

63.34% (

0.02)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.24% (

-0.01)

13.76% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.94% (

-0.02)

41.05% (

0.02)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.99% (

34.01% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.31% (

70.69% (

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 58.35%

Chicago Fire 20.14%

Draw 21.5%

Atlanta United	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.2% 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 58.35%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.35% 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.5%	1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 20.14%