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Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Park
Philadelphia Union

Chicago Fire
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Haile-Selassie (19'), Harriel (47' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gazdag (62' pen.), Carranza (64', 65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.28% (1.758 1.76)27.07% (-0.286 -0.29)29.65% (-1.466 -1.47)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.205 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44% (0.565 0.56)56% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91% (0.459 0.46)77.09% (-0.453 -0.45)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (1.182 1.18)25.65% (-1.178 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (1.58 1.58)60.56% (-1.576 -1.58)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.783 -0.78)34.07% (0.786 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.852 -0.85)70.76% (0.85599999999999 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 43.28%
    Philadelphia Union 29.65%
    Draw 27.07%
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.89% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.207 0.21)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.36 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.222 0.22)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.279 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.075 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.117 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 43.28%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.41% (-0.414 -0.41)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 29.65%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia

Chicago Fire
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Philadelphia Union
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-0
Chicago Fire
Torres (90')
Andres Martinez (45+2'), Elliott (60'), Bedoya (74'), Torres (90+3'), Sullivan (90+6')

Teran (12'), Kamara (38'), Navarro (42'), Herbers (45+2')
Herbers (50'), Kamara (90+3')
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
4-1
Chicago Fire
Gazdag (16'), Elliott (37'), Carranza (53'), Burke (82')
Bedoya (28'), Burke (85'), Carranza (86'), Mbaizo (90+1')
Mueller (49')
Pineda (3'), Shaqiri (70'), Navarro (82')
Jun 30, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-0
Philadelphia
Navarro (68')
Teran (51')

Andres Martinez (29'), Bedoya (35'), Wagner (77'), Gazdag (83')
Andres Martinez (72')
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
Jun 27, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Philadelphia
Glesnes (2' og.), Sekulic (56'), Pineda (67')
Stojanovic (44'), Navarro (62'), Herbers (81')
Sullivan (28'), Burke (45+2'), Sekulic (79' og.)
Elliott (10'), Santos (34'), Wagner (52'), Powell (55')