Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Toyota Park
  • Kei Kamara 24' goal
  • Kei Kamara 36' goal
  • goal Kervin Arriaga 57'

Chicago Fire vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 2, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire 0 - 0 DC United
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Maren Haile-Selassie

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 2, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City 0 - 1 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Teemu Pukki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result

Chicago Fire 50.07% (-0.10)
Draw 25.07% (+0.04)
Minnesota United 24.85% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.47% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.89% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 51.11% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 27.04% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 72.96% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 12.67% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 87.33% (+0.06)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 79.58% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 20.42% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 47.13% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 52.87% (+0.13)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 64.68% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.32% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27.92% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 72.08% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Chicago Fire 50.07%
Draw 25.07%
Minnesota United 24.85%
Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 11.45% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 50.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.21% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 25.07%
Minnesota United
0-1 @ 7.51% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.21% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.91% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 24.85%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2022 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Wil Trapp 36' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Reynoso 72' goal
  • Kervin Arriaga 84' goal
  • Robin Lod 88' goal
  • yellowcard Miguel Navarro 35'
  • yellowcard Gaston Gimenez 41'
  • yellowcard Federico Navarro 52'
  • redcard Federico Navarro 77'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 18
Nov 5, 2020 1.00am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Field
  • Bakaye Dibassy 41' yellowcard
  • Jose Aja 64' goal
  • Robin Lod 80' goal
  • Jose Aja 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Beric 17'
  • yellowcard Francisco Calvo 23'
  • goal Mauricio Pineda 52'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Aliseda 78'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 37
Major League Soccer Gameweek 14
May 12, 2019 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT SeatGeek Stadium (Bridgeview, Illinois)
  • Nicolas Gaitan 21' goal
  • Aleksandar Katai 34' goal
  • Bastian Schweinsteiger 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Romain Metanire 42'
  • yellowcard Angelo Rodriguez 78'
  • yellowcard Abu Danladi 92'
  • yellowcard Darwin Quintero 93'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 3
Mar 17, 2018 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT TCF Bank Stadium (Minneapolis, Minnesota)
  • Ibson 55' goal
  • Sam Nicholson 66' goal
  • Mason Toye 92' yellowcard
  • goal Elliott Collier 59'
  • yellowcard Kevin Ellis 61'
  • yellowcard Tony Tchani 67'
Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2017 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Dax McCarty 69' yellowcard
  • David Accam 77' goal
  • Bastian Schweinsteiger 84' yellowcard
  • goal Abu Danladi 36'
  • goal Abu Danladi 45'
  • yellowcard Abu Danladi 78'