Major League Soccer

Apr 9, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
2 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Kamara (24', 36')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Arriaga (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 DC United
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Minnesota United

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: St Louis City 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Minnesota United
50.07% ( -0.1)	25.07% ( 0.04)	24.85% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 51.47% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.89% (

-0.09)

51.11% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.04% (

-0.07)

72.96% (

0.08)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.58% (

-0.07)

20.42% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.13% (

-0.12)

52.87% (

0.13)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

0.01)

35.32% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

0.01)

72.08% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 50.07%

Minnesota United 24.85%

Draw 25.07%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 50.07%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 24.85%