Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.