Major League Soccer

Apr 2, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Citypark

St Louis City
0 - 1
Minnesota Utd

FT(HT: 0-0)

Amarilla (78' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-4 St Louis City
Sunday, March 26 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Minnesota United

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, March 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Minnesota United
34.33% ( 0.06)	25.88% ( 0.01)	39.79% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 54.4% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.15% (

-0.03)

49.85% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.15% (

-0.02)

71.84% (

0.02)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.22% (

0.02)

27.77% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.64% (

0.03)

63.35% (

-0.04)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32% (

-0.05)

24.68% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.79% (

-0.07)

59.21% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 34.33%

Minnesota United 39.79%

Draw 25.87%

St Louis City	Draw	Minnesota United
1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.33%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 39.79%