Major League Soccer
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Luis Amarilla
78'
St Louis City vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.
Result
St Louis City
34.33%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
25.88%
▲
(+0.01)
Minnesota United
39.79%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
54.4%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.15%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
49.85%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
28.15%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
71.84%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
13.41%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
86.58%
▲
(+0.02)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5
72.22%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
27.77%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
36.64%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
63.35%
▼
(-0.04)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5
75.32%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
24.68%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
40.79%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
59.21%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
St Louis City
34.33%
Draw
25.87%
Minnesota United
39.79%
St Louis City
1-0
@
8.78%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.33%
2-1 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.33%
Draw
1-1
@
12.28%
0-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.87%
0-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.87%
Minnesota United
0-1
@
9.59%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 39.79%
1-2 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 39.79%