Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.