Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | DC United |
| 61.67% ( | 22.03% ( | 16.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.7% ( | 49.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% ( | 71.35% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( | 15.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.65% ( | 44.35% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.69% ( | 43.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.45% ( | 79.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% 2-0 @ 11.66% ( 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.26% ( 3-1 @ 6.07% 4-0 @ 3.39% ( 4-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.14% Total : 61.66% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.03% | 0-1 @ 5.61% 1-2 @ 4.38% ( 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.29% |