Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 48.73% | 24.2% | 27.06% |
| Both teams to score 56.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.25% | 45.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.93% | 68.07% |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% | 18.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.68% | 50.32% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% | 30.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% | 66.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.26% Total : 48.73% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.84% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.99% Total : 27.06% |