Major League Soccer

Apr 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Stade Saputo

Montreal
2 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Reyes (25' og.), Choiniere (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 0-1 DC United
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Houston
Sunday, April 16 at 1.11am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	New York Red Bulls
46.44% ( -0.53)	26.02% ( 0.48)	27.54% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 50.87% (

-1.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.01% (

-1.87)

52.99% (

1.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.41% (

-1.62)

74.59% (

1.61)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.21% (

-1.03)

22.79% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.5% (

-1.55)

56.5% (

1.54)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89% (

-0.95)

34.11% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2% (

-1.04)

70.79% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 46.44%

New York Red Bulls 27.54%

Draw 26.01%

CF Montreal	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.97% Total : 46.44%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.54%