Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 64.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | DC United |
| 64.57% ( | 20.38% ( | 15.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.41% ( | 44.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.04% ( | 66.96% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( | 13.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.35% ( | 39.65% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.89% ( | 42.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.46% ( | 78.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | DC United |
| 2-0 @ 11.39% 1-0 @ 11.19% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 3-0 @ 7.73% ( 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 4-0 @ 3.93% ( 4-1 @ 3.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 5-0 @ 1.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 5-1 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 64.56% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 2-2 @ 4.26% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.38% | 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0-2 @ 2.06% ( 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 1-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.05% |