Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 64.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.