Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
39.21% ( -2.91) | 25.33% ( 0) | 35.47% ( 2.91) |
Both teams to score 56.48% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.75% ( 0.6) | 47.25% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% ( 0.55) | 69.48% ( -0.55) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% ( -1.19) | 23.82% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.01% ( -1.74) | 57.99% ( 1.74) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.14% ( 2.05) | 25.86% ( -2.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.16% ( 2.69) | 60.84% ( -2.69) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.63) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.42) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.49) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.35) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |