Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 39.21% ( | 25.33% ( | 35.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( | 47.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( | 69.48% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( | 23.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.01% ( | 57.99% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( | 25.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% ( | 60.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.47% |