Major League Soccer

Apr 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
4 - 0
Montreal

Borrero (21'), Gil (45+4' pen.), Wood (50'), Vrioni (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 1-1 NY City
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

CF Montreal

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Vancouver 5-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	CF Montreal
49.83% ( 0.01)	24.37% ( 0)	25.8% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.6% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.57% (

-0.01)

47.43% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.36% (

-0.01)

69.64% (

0.01)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.93% (

-0)

19.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.33%

50.67%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.46% (

-0.02)

32.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.93% (

-0.02)

69.07% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 49.83%

CF Montreal 25.8%

Draw 24.36%

New England Revolution	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.83%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.36%	0-1 @ 6.97% 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 25.8%