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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Montreal Impact

New England
4 - 0
Montreal

Borrero (21'), Gil (45+4' pen.), Wood (50'), Vrioni (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Miller (26'), Corbo (45'), Wanyama (54'), Waterman (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 1-1 NY City
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 5-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 2-0 CF Montreal

A loss like the one they suffered in Vancouver cannot be good for the psyche of this Montreal team, who look dumbfounded away from home, while adjusting to the Losada style of play does not appear to be working. The Revs have been a force for most of the campaign, and we believe their mixture of youth and experience in the middle of the field will do some damage against a Montreal team that look like a wounded animal right now.

How to watch

You can watch New England Revolution vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawCF Montreal
49.83% (0.012 0.01) 24.37% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.8% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.43% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.64% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.33%50.67%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)32.54% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (-0.02 -0.02)69.07% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 49.83%
    CF Montreal 25.8%
    Draw 24.36%
New England RevolutionDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.83%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.97%
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 25.8%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
Aug 21, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
4-0
New England
Kamara (26'), Quioto (39', 55'), Miljevic (90+1' pen.)
Corbo (82')

Gil (88')
Sep 30, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
1-4
New England
Torres (32')
Piette (27'), Miller (90')
Jones (10'), Buksa (17'), Camacho (30' og.), Bou (86')
Bou (58'), Caicedo (90+2')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
New England
2-1
Montreal
Bou (29', 73')
McNamara (90+1'), Camilo Mafla Rebellon (90+5')
Nov 20, 2020 11.30pm
New England
2-1
Montreal
Gil (38'), Bou (90+5')
Bou (6'), McNamara (20')
Quioto (61')
Corrales (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93421714313
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Seattle SoundersSeattle10235131309
13Dallas9225912-38
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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