Major League Soccer

Apr 16, 2023 at 1.11am UK

Red Bull Arena, Harrison

NY Red Bulls
1 - 1
Houston

Fernandez (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Carrasquilla (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 3-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Houston Dynamo
53.84% ( -0.17)	24.49% ( 0.07)	21.67% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 49.6% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.23% (

-0.18)

51.76% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.46% (

-0.16)

73.53% (

0.15)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.84% (

-0.14)

19.16% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.18% (

-0.22)

50.82% (

0.22)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.36% (

-0)

38.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.61% (

-0)

75.38%

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 53.83%

Houston Dynamo 21.67%

Draw 24.48%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.83%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.48%	0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 21.67%