Atlanta United
Austin FC
Montreal Impact
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
Nashville
New England Revolution
New York City
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas
St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
LA Galaxy

Houston
3 - 0
LA Galaxy

Herrera (35'), Bassi (65' pen., 73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Houston
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
35.71% (-0.116 -0.12)24.35% (0.021000000000001 0.02)39.94% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 59.99% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.27% (-0.105 -0.1)42.73% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (-0.102 -0.1)65.13% (0.107 0.11)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.111 -0.11)23.62% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.162 -0.16)57.71% (0.166 0.17)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)21.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (0.0039999999999978 0)54.49%
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 35.71%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 39.94%
    Draw 24.35%
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.32% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.8% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 6% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 39.94%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
Houston
1-3
LA Galaxy
Ferreira (8')
Puig (31'), Hernandez (32'), Joveljic (69')
Hernandez (17')
May 23, 2022 1am
LA Galaxy
0-3
Houston

DePuy (65')
Ferreira (11'), Pasher (58'), Ulfarsson (62')
Rodriguez (16'), Ulfarsson (62'), Avila (80'), Hadebe (86')
Oct 21, 2021 1.30am
Houston
0-3
LA Galaxy

Figueroa (37')
Kljestan (39' pen.), Valentin (45+1' og.), Cabral (47')
Hernandez (9'), Araujo (11'), DePuy (84')
Sep 16, 2021 3.30am
LA Galaxy
1-1
Houston
Hernandez (61')
dos Santos (69')
Picault (13')
Vera (51'), Ceren (65'), Valentin (80'), Quintero (86'), Garcia (90+4')
Jul 24, 2020 1am
LA Galaxy
1-1
Houston
Pavon (90+1' pen.)
Steres (84')
Quintero (17')
Struna (45+3'), Quintero (59'), Garcia (70')