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Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Apr 2, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Earthquakes
2 - 1
Houston

Espinoza (7' pen., 65' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bassi (42' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, March 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Houston 1-0 NY City
Sunday, March 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for San Jose Earthquakes.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
57.59%21.74% (0.0010000000000012 0)20.67%
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.71% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.31% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.74% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)33.68% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (0.0010000000000012 0)70.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 57.59%
    Houston Dynamo 20.67%
    Draw 21.73%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.11%
3-1 @ 6.47%
3-0 @ 5.95%
3-2 @ 3.52%
4-1 @ 3.17%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-2 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 57.59%
1-1 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.73%
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-1 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 20.67%

Head to Head
Jul 18, 2022 2.30am
Earthquakes
1-2
Houston
Yueill (53')
Monteiro (45')
Ferreira (71'), Ulfarsson (76')
Parker (28'), Vera (43'), Picault (90')
Apr 10, 2022 1.30am
Houston
4-3
Earthquakes
Ferreira (8', 68'), Quintero (43'), Hadebe (57')
Quintero (18'), Ferreira (27'), Hadebe (58'), Picault (63'), Ceren (89'), Bartlow (90+2')
Ebobisse (25', 28'), Thompson (77')
Marie (20'), Lopez (22'), Yueill (90+1')
Jul 25, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
1-1
Houston
Valentin (45+5' og.)
Cardoso (70')
Fierro (90+7')
Vera (40')
Picault (53'), Parker (57'), Vera (68'), Urruti (90+8')
Apr 17, 2021 1am
Houston
2-1
Earthquakes
Rodriguez (39'), Urruti (56')
Picault (29'), Vera (41'), Jones (90+4')
Marie (74')
Lopez (51'), Remedi (52'), Rios (87')
Aug 10, 2020 2am
Earthquakes
P-P
Houston