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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Toronto FC

Earthquakes
0 - 0
Toronto

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 18 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawToronto
58.03% (0.12200000000001 0.12)21.55% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)20.42% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (0.094999999999999 0.09)40.77% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.84% (0.095999999999997 0.1)63.16% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.2% (0.071999999999989 0.07)13.8% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.86% (0.136 0.14)41.14% (-0.131 -0.13)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)33.64% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)70.29% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 58.03%
    Toronto 20.42%
    Draw 21.54%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 58.03%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.54%
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 20.42%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Toronto

San Jose Earthquakes
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Toronto
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
Earthquakes
Kerr (71'), Osorio (75')
Kerr (87')
Ebobisse (26'), Skahan (90+2')
Yueill (90+5')
Feb 29, 2020 10.30pm
Earthquakes
2-2
Toronto
Rios (53'), Alanis (90')
Thompson (33'), Yueill (70'), Kashia (81')
Pozuelo (40' pen.), Laryea (51')
Altidore (71'), Endoh (90')
May 27, 2019 12.30am
Toronto
1-2
Earthquakes
Laryea (28')
Fraser (61')
Wondolowski (37', 81')
Thompson (33'), Espinoza (64'), Eriksson (69')
Aug 19, 2018 3am
Sep 9, 2017 10pm
Toronto
4-0
Earthquakes
Vazquez (26'), Altidore (48', 64'), Osorio (66')

Godoy (43'), Urena (57')
Ceren (72')