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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
Toronto FC

Philadelphia
4 - 2
Toronto

MacNaughton (16' og.), Uhre (20', 43', 56')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Insigne (66'), Laryea (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 12.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
69.61% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)12.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 51.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (0.0020000000000095 0)10.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.91%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 69.61%
    Toronto 12.47%
    Draw 17.92%
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
2-0 @ 11.3%
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.92%
4-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.15%
5-0 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 69.61%
1-1 @ 8.45%
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.92%
0-1 @ 3.7%
1-2 @ 3.61%
0-2 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 12.47%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Toronto

Philadelphia Union
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Toronto
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Philadelphia
4-0
Toronto
Gazdag (4', 60' pen., 63'), Uhre (42')

Bradley (29')
Apr 17, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Philadelphia
Jimenez (39'), Pozuelo (51')
Nelson (19'), Pozuelo (30'), Bradley (45+1'), Chung (75')
Carranza (34')
Carranza (53')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 41
Toronto
2-2
Philadelphia
Altidore (66'), Elliott (70' og.)
Mavinga (57')
Bedoya (1'), Santos (77')
Andres Martinez (87')
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 21
Philadelphia
3-0
Toronto
Glesnes (12'), Gazdag (33' pen.), Santos (36')
Glesnes (26'), Wagner (47'), Mbaizo (90')
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 21
Philadelphia
5-0
Toronto
Santos (27', 63', 68'), McKenzie (33'), Monteiro (55')
Monteiro (9'), Blake (64')

Auro (10'), Mullins (73')