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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
Toronto FC

Philadelphia
4 - 2
Toronto

MacNaughton (16' og.), Uhre (20', 43', 56')
Elliott (36'), Carranza (63')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Insigne (66'), Laryea (90+2')
Insigne (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Toronto

With a massive CCL semi-final just around the corner, the Union might have one eye on this game and another on their opening match with LAFC. That being said, both teams have quality all over the field, but the Reds have struggled to close out fixtures this year, while it has been the opposite story for Philly.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 12.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
69.61% (0.0010000000000048 0) 17.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 12.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 51.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (0.0020000000000095 0)10.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.09% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.91%
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 69.61%
    Toronto 12.47%
    Draw 17.92%
Philadelphia UnionDrawToronto
2-0 @ 11.3%
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.92%
4-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.15%
5-0 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 69.61%
1-1 @ 8.45%
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.92%
0-1 @ 3.7%
1-2 @ 3.61%
0-2 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 12.47%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Toronto

Philadelphia Union
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Toronto
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Philadelphia
4-0
Toronto
Gazdag (4', 60' pen., 63'), Uhre (42')

Bradley (29')
Apr 17, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Philadelphia
Jimenez (39'), Pozuelo (51')
Nelson (19'), Pozuelo (30'), Bradley (45+1'), Chung (75')
Carranza (34')
Carranza (53')
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 41
Toronto
2-2
Philadelphia
Altidore (66'), Elliott (70' og.)
Mavinga (57')
Bedoya (1'), Santos (77')
Andres Martinez (87')
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 21
Philadelphia
3-0
Toronto
Glesnes (12'), Gazdag (33' pen.), Santos (36')
Glesnes (26'), Wagner (47'), Mbaizo (90')
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 21
Philadelphia
5-0
Toronto
Santos (27', 63', 68'), McKenzie (33'), Monteiro (55')
Monteiro (9'), Blake (64')

Auro (10'), Mullins (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93421714313
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Seattle SoundersSeattle10235131309
13Dallas9225912-38
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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