Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT Talen Energy Stadium
  • Lukas MacNaughton 16' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 20' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 43' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 56' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 66'
  • goal Richie Laryea 90'+2'

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire 2 - 2 Philadelphia
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Toronto 2 - 2 Atlanta
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Deandre Kerr

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 12.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result

Philadelphia Union 69.61% (+0.01)
Draw 17.92% (-0.01)
Toronto 12.47% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.61% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.75% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 39.24% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 38.42% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 61.57% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 20.89% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 79.11% (-0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 89.83% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 10.16% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 66.59% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 33.4% (-0.01)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 57.45% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 42.55% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 21.09% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 78.91%

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 69.61%
Draw 17.92%
Toronto 12.47%
Philadelphia Union
2-0 @ 11.3%
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 7.36% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.92%
4-1 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.15%
5-0 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 69.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.45%
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 17.92%
Toronto
0-1 @ 3.7%
1-2 @ 3.61%
0-2 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 12.47%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Daniel Gazdag 4' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 42' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 60' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 63' goal
Major League Soccer
Apr 17, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jayden Nelson 19' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 30' yellowcard
  • Jesus Jimenez 39' goal
  • Michael Bradley 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 51' goal
  • Kadin Chung 75' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Carranza 34'
  • goal Julian Carranza 34'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 53'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Chris Mavinga 57' yellowcard
  • Jozy Altidore 66' goal
  • Jack Elliott 70' goal
  • goal Alejandro Bedoya 1'
  • goal Sergio Santos 77'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 87'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Jakob Glesnes 12' goal
  • Jakob Glesnes 26' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 33' goal
  • Sergio Santos 36' goal
  • Kai Wagner 47' yellowcard
  • Olivier Mbaizo 90' yellowcard
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jamiro Monteiro 9' yellowcard
  • Sergio Santos 27' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 33' goal
  • Jamiro Monteiro 55' goal
  • Sergio Santos 63' goal
  • Andre Blake 64' yellowcard
  • Sergio Santos 68' goal
  • yellowcard Auro 10'
  • yellowcard Patrick Mullins 73'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 14
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field
  • Ayomide Akinola 58' goal
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 76' goal
  • goal Sergio Santos 5'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 83'