Major League Soccer

Apr 2, 2023 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 2
Charlotte FC

Bernardeschi (6'), Bradley (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bender (50', 51'), Jozwiak (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, March 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 25 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 51.64%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Charlotte FC
51.64% ( -0.02)	23.38% ( 0.01)	24.98% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.03% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.18% (

-0.02)

43.82% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.79% (

-0.02)

66.21% (

0.02)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.99% (

-0.01)

17.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.86% (

-0.02)

47.14% (

0.02)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.72% (

-0)

31.28% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37% (

-0.01)

67.63% (

Score Analysis

Toronto 51.64%

Charlotte FC 24.98%

Draw 23.38%

Toronto	Draw	Charlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.99% Total : 51.64%	1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.79% Total : 24.98%