CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 3, 2023 at 3am UK

Gibbo Stadium

Los Angeles
3 - 0
Philadelphia

(Los Angeles FC win 4-1 on aggregate)

Tillman (13'), Opoku (82'), Bouanga (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Semi-Finals clash between Los Angeles FC and Philadelphia Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, April 27 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, April 27 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
56.3% ( -1.01)	22.6% ( 0.35)	21.1% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 54.72% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.43% (

-0.7)

44.57% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.07% (

-0.68)

66.94% (

0.68)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.36% (

-0.58)

15.64% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.34% (

-1.08)

44.66% (

1.08)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.86% (

0.25)

35.14% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.11% (

0.26)

71.89% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 56.3%

Philadelphia Union 21.1%

Draw 22.59%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.5% Total : 56.3%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.59%	0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 21.1%