Major League Soccer

May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FC
3 - 2
NY City

Copetti (8', 39'), Ledezma (74' og.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pereira (37'), Rodriguez (57' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 3-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-0 NY City
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FC	Draw	New York City FC
37.84% ( 0)	26% ( 0)	36.15% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.21% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.81% (

-0.01)

50.19% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.85% (

-0)

72.15% (

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.11% (

-0)

25.89% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.13% (

-0)

60.87% (

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

-0)

26.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.85% (

-0.01)

62.15% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Charlotte FC 37.84%

New York City FC 36.15%

Draw 26%

Charlotte FC	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.84%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.15%