We said: Toronto 2-1 New York City FC
Sean Johnson has been an elite shot-stopper in this league for quite some time and has proven he can steal a game on his own.
Given the Reds' significant injury concerns, we expect the ex-NYCFC keeper to take his game to a level we have come to expect this weekend, while getting his new team back in the win column.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Toronto.