Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for DC United had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
| 68.58% ( | 19.01% ( | 12.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.56% ( | 44.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.19% ( | 66.81% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.12% ( | 11.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.81% ( | 37.19% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.01% ( | 45.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.29% ( | 81.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
| 2-0 @ 12.39% ( 1-0 @ 11.63% ( 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 3-0 @ 8.8% ( 3-1 @ 6.84% ( 4-0 @ 4.69% ( 4-1 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 5-0 @ 2% ( 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.33% Total : 68.57% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 2-2 @ 3.74% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.01% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 1-2 @ 3.51% ( 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 1-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.41% |