Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 41.08% ( | 27.5% ( | 31.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% ( | 57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.1% ( | 77.9% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% ( | 27.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.28% ( | 62.72% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% ( | 33.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.08% ( | 69.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.63% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.42% |