Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.