Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
May 7, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
DC United
  • Luciano Acosta 59' goal
  • Alvaro Barreal 73' goal
  • goal Taxiarchis Fountas 90'

FC Cincinnati vs DC United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 12.30am
New England 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 12.30am
DC United 3 - 0 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Christian Benteke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result

FC Cincinnati 58.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 22.6% ▼ (-0.01)
DC United 18.54% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.54% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 29.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 14.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.49% ▼ (-0.02)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 84.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 15.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 54.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 45.31% ▼ (-0.02)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5 60.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 39.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 76.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 58.85%
Draw 22.59%
DC United 18.54%
FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 11.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.7% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 58.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.59%
DC United
0-1 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 18.54%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
DC United
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
2
5
HT : 1 4
FT
Cincinnati
  • Ravel Morrison 26' goal
  • Kristian Fletcher 46' goal
  • goal Luciano Acosta 6'
  • goal Brenner 8'
  • goal Brenner 24'
  • goal Brenner 37'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 53'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Cincinnati
Mar 5, 2022 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
DC United
  • Tyler Blackett 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Moses Nyeman 80'
  • yellowcard Brad Smith 90'+1'
  • goal Ola Kamara 90'+8'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 35
DC United
Sep 26, 2021 12.30am
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
Cincinnati
  • Paul Arriola 7' goal
  • Steven Birnbaum 21' goal
  • Bill Hamid 34' yellowcard
  • Paul Arriola 41' goal
  • Nigel Robertha 72' goal
  • Nigel Robertha 74' goal
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 80'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 81'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 20
Cincinnati
Aug 1, 2021 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
DC United
  • Joe Gyau 36' yellowcard
  • Luciano Acosta 60' yellowcard
  • Nick Hagglund 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Junior Moreno 15'
  • yellowcard Joseph Mora 41'
  • redcard Moses Nyeman 52'
  • yellowcard Yordy Reyna 72'
  • redcard Joseph Mora 90'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 19
Cincinnati
Oct 19, 2020 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Nippert Stadium
DC United
  • Brandon Vazquez 66' goal
  • yellowcard Yamil Rodrigo Asad 27'
  • yellowcard Moses Nyeman 32'
  • goal Donovan Pines 36'
  • goal Chris Odoi-Atsem 78'
  • yellowcard Chris Odoi-Atsem 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
Cincinnati
Aug 22, 2020 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
DC United
  • Mathieu Deplagne 13' yellowcard
  • Caleb Stanko 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Russell Canouse 35'
  • yellowcard Edison Flores 88'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Abu 90'+1'

Form Data

New England 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 1 Portland
St Louis City 5 - 1 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Philadelphia
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Inter Miami
Nashville 0 - 1 Cincinnati
DC United 3 - 0 Charlotte FC
Orlando City 1 - 3 DC United
Montreal 0 - 1 DC United
DC United 0 - 2 Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire 0 - 0 DC United
DC United 1 - 2 New England