Major League Soccer

May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
2 - 1
DC United

Acosta (59'), Barreal (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fountas (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: New England 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 3-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	DC United
58.86% ( 0.01)	22.6% ( -0)	18.54% ( 0)

Both teams to score 50.54% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.93% (

0.03)

48.07% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.77% (

0.03)

70.24% (

-0.03)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.01% (

0.02)

15.99% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.69% (

0.02)

45.31% (

-0.02)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.16% (

0.03)

39.85% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.49% (

0.02)

76.51% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 58.85%

DC United 18.54%

Draw 22.59%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 58.85%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.59%	0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 18.54%