Major League Soccer

Apr 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
2 - 1
Portland

Santos (34'), Vazquez (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Asprilla (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 5-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 16 at 3.49am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 4-1 Seattle
Sunday, April 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Portland Timbers
59.23% ( 0.07)	21.73% ( -0.02)	19.03% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.2% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.38% (

0.04)

43.62% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.99% (

0.04)

66.01% (

-0.04)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.63% (

0.03)

14.37% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.76% (

0.06)

42.24% (

-0.07)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.29% (

-0.02)

36.7% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.51% (

-0.02)

73.49% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 59.23%

Portland Timbers 19.03%

Draw 21.73%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 59.23%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.73%	0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 19.03%