Major League Soccer

Apr 16, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
4 - 1
Seattle

Asprilla (71'), Fogaca (76'), Niezgoda (81'), David Mosquera (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruidiaz (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 1-0 Portland
Sunday, April 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 3-0 St Louis City
Sunday, April 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Seattle Sounders
43.12% ( -0.04)	25.96% ( 0.02)	30.92% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 53.02% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87% (

-0.06)

51.13% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02% (

-0.05)

72.98% (

0.05)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43% (

-0.04)

23.57% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.37% (

-0.06)

57.63% (

0.07)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.36% (

-0.01)

30.63% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.12% (

-0.01)

66.88% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 43.11%

Seattle Sounders 30.92%

Draw 25.95%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Seattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.11%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.92%