Atlanta United
Austin FC
Montreal Impact
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
Nashville
New England Revolution
New York City
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas
St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

St Louis City
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 3.49am UK
Citypark
FC Cincinnati

St Louis City
5 - 1
Cincinnati

Stroud (3'), Lowen (39'), Hiebert (45+2'), Gioacchini (53'), Celentano (57' og.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Santos (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Seattle 3-0 St Louis City
Sunday, April 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawFC Cincinnati
41.27% (0.018999999999998 0.02)24.64% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)34.1% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.62% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)44.37% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)66.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.54% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)54.6% (0.0039999999999978 0)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)25.3% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)60.07% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 41.27%
    FC Cincinnati 34.1%
    Draw 24.63%
St Louis CityDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 41.27%
1-1 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.1%

How you voted: St Louis City vs Cincinnati

St Louis City
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
FC Cincinnati
20.0%
5