Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 3.49am
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Jared Stroud 3' goal
  • Eduard Lowen 39' goal
  • Kyle Hiebert 45'+2' goal
  • Nicholas Gioacchini 53' goal
  • Roman Celentano 57' goal
  • goal Sergio Santos 62'

St Louis City vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 3.30am
Seattle 3 - 0 St Louis City
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Samuel Adeniran

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Philadelphia
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result

St Louis City 41.27% (+0.02)
Draw 24.64% (+0.01)
FC Cincinnati 34.1% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.62% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.64% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 44.37% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 33.26% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 66.74% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 16.99% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.02% (+0.02)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 78.46% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.54% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.4% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.6% (+0.01)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 74.7% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 25.3% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 39.93% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.07% (+0.04)

Score analysis

St Louis City 41.27%
Draw 24.63%
FC Cincinnati 34.1%
St Louis City
2-1 @ 8.83% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.37% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.29% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 41.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.45% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.63%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.49% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 34.1%