Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Inter Miami
  • Yerson Mosquera 45'+5' goal

FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 26, 2023 12.30am
Nashville 0 - 1 Cincinnati
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Luciano Acosta

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Inter Miami 2 - 3 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Leonardo Campana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result

FC Cincinnati 60.42% ▲ (+0.36)
Draw 21.41% ▼ (-0.31)
Inter Miami 18.17% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.7% ▲ (+0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.48% ▲ (+1.31)
Under 2.5 43.51% ▼ (-1.31)
Over 3.5 34.09% ▲ (+1.27)
Under 3.5 65.91% ▼ (-1.27)
Over 4.5 17.59% ▲ (+0.93)
Under 4.5 82.4% ▼ (-0.93)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 86.03% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 0.5 13.96% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 1.5 58.54% ▲ (+1.05)
Under 1.5 41.45% ▼ (-1.05)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 62.41% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 0.5 37.59% ▼ (-0.73)
Over 1.5 25.63% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 1.5 74.37% ▼ (-0.70)

Score analysis

FC Cincinnati 60.41%
Draw 21.41%
Inter Miami 18.17%
FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.33% ▼ (-0.40)
2-0 @ 10.17% ▼ (-0.18)
2-1 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.13)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.10)
5-0 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 60.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11% ▼ (-0.18)
0-0 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.31)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-97.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.41%
Inter Miami
0-1 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.20)
1-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 18.17%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Jul 31, 2022 1.00am
4
4
HT : 3 2
FT
Cincinnati
  • Gonzalo Higuain 23' goal
  • Gonzalo Higuain 37' goal
  • Gonzalo Higuain 45'+5' goal
  • Indiana Vassilev 60' yellowcard
  • Christopher McVey 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Geoff Cameron 21'
  • goal Brenner 28'
  • goal Brenner 40'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 81'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 86'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Cincinnati
Mar 19, 2022 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Inter Miami
  • Ronald Matarrita 18' goal
  • Brandon Vazquez 24' goal
  • Ronald Matarrita 33' yellowcard
  • Junior Moreno 56' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 82' goal
  • Alec Kann 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 30'
  • yellowcard Mo 47'
  • yellowcard Gregore 53'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 78'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Inter Miami
Oct 24, 2021 1.00am
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Cincinnati
  • Federico Higuain 6' goal
  • Blaise Matuidi 47' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Higuain 53' goal
  • Indiana Vassilev 69' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 75' goal
  • Julian Carranza 85' goal
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 21'
  • yellowcard Tyler Blackett 44'
  • redcard Allan Cruz 90'+6'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 30
Cincinnati
Sep 5, 2021 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Inter Miami
  • yellowcard Brek Shea 18'
  • yellowcard Gregore 62'
  • yellowcard Jorge Figal 69'
  • yellowcard Blaise Matuidi 73'
  • goal Brek Shea 90'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 8
Cincinnati
May 16, 2021 9.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Inter Miami
  • Ronald Matarrita 14' yellowcard
  • Calvin Harris 40' yellowcard
  • Exon Gustavo Vallecilla Godoy 41' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Martin Barreal 59' goal
  • Allan Cruz 66' yellowcard
  • Geoff Cameron 70' yellowcard
  • Nick Hagglund 83' goal
  • goal Brek Shea 7'
  • yellowcard Sami Guediri 23'
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 38'
  • goal Gonzalo Higuain 85'
  • yellowcard Gregore 88'
  • yellowcard Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 88'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 25
Inter Miami
Nov 8, 2020 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Cincinnati
  • Mikey Ambrose 19' goal
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 23' goal
  • Andres Reyes 62' yellowcard
  • Andres Reyes 88' redcard
  • yellowcard Joe Gyau 4'
  • yellowcard Nick Hagglund 21'
  • goal Joe Gyau 66'

Form Data

Nashville 0 - 1 Cincinnati
Chicago Fire 3 - 3 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 1 - 0 Seattle
Orlando City 0 - 0 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 2 - 1 Houston
Philadelphia 1 - 0 Cincinnati
Inter Miami 2 - 3 Chicago Fire
Toronto 2 - 0 Inter Miami
NY City 1 - 0 Inter Miami
Inter Miami 2 - 0 Philadelphia
Inter Miami 2 - 0 Montreal
NY City 3 - 0 Inter Miami