Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 54.68% ( | 23.92% ( | 21.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.17% ( | 49.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.17% ( | 71.83% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( | 18.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.94% ( | 49.05% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% ( | 37.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% ( | 74.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% 2-0 @ 10% ( 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.67% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.73% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.66% 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.59% Total : 21.4% |