Major League Soccer

Apr 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
2 - 1
Kansas

Vrioni (31', 35')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Russell (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 New England
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 3-0 Kansas
Sunday, April 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
55.83% ( -0.04)	23.56% ( 0.02)	20.61% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.93% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.75% (

-0.04)

49.25% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.69% (

-0.03)

71.31% (

0.03)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.52% (

-0.03)

17.47% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.04% (

-0.05)

47.96% (

0.05)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.71% (

0.01)

38.29% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.95% (

0.01)

75.05% (

-0)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 55.83%

Sporting Kansas City 20.61%

Draw 23.55%

New England Revolution	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 55.83%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.61%