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Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Earthquakes
3 - 0
Kansas

Espinoza (9'), Ebobisse (40' pen., 51')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Last Game: Kansas 0-1 Colorado
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSporting Kansas City
54.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.49% (0.0010000000000012 0)22.35% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 53.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.95% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8%69.2% (0.0049999999999955 0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (0.0019999999999953 0)17.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.45%47.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.04% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 54.16%
    Sporting Kansas City 22.35%
    Draw 23.49%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 5.74%
3-0 @ 5.51%
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 22.35%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Kansas

San Jose Earthquakes
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Sporting Kansas City
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 1.30am
Kansas
1-0
Earthquakes
Salloi (10')
Sweat (42'), Agade (45'), Fontas (88')

Beason (57'), Agren (90+1')
May 23, 2022 12.30am
Earthquakes
1-1
Kansas
Yueill (46')
Marie (88')
Russell (45')
Espinoza (58'), Rosell (74')
Jul 22, 2021 1.30am
Kansas
1-1
Earthquakes
Salloi (90+4')
Lindsey (57'), Zusi (85')
Cardoso (53')
Lopez (40'), Judson (49'), Espinoza (81'), Cardoso (86')
Judson (90+5')
May 23, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
1-3
Kansas
Lopez (4')
Espinoza (9'), Rios (49')
Lindsey (15'), Pulido (60'), Salloi (75')
Lindsey (90')
Nov 22, 2020 9pm
First Round
Kansas
3-3
Earthquakes
 Kansas win 3-0 on penalties
Espinoza (4'), Sanchez (47'), Busio (90+1')
Reid (39'), Dia (78'), Espinoza (79'), Russell (86')
Fierro (22'), Salinas (34'), Wondolowski (90+7')
Lima (28'), Lopez (56'), Espinoza (85')