Solid team unity and some quality up front can take you a long way, and the Quakes look much improved in virtually every aspect of their game early on.
Kansas City have put together some good performances at times but cannot seem to find solutions to their goalscoring woes, which is why we are tipping the Quakes to claim a narrow victory.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
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