Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 1.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Duncan Williams 45'+3' goal
  • Duncan Williams 70' goal
  • Duncan Williams 90'+1' goal

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 6.30pm
Nashville 3 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Duncan Williams

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire 1 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Maren Haile-Selassie

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result

Nashville SC 53.91% (+0.01)
Draw 23.91% (-0.01)
Chicago Fire 22.18%

Both Teams to Score: 

52% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.09% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.9% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.99% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 13.98% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.01% (-0.01)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 81.94% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.05% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 51.04% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 48.96% (-0.01)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 63.46% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.53% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 26.68% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 73.32%

Score analysis

Nashville SC 53.91%
Draw 23.9%
Chicago Fire 22.18%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 9.66%
3-1 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51%
3-2 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 23.9%
Chicago Fire
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.34%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 22.18%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer Gameweek 36
Sep 26, 2021 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mauricio Pineda 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Anunga 56'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 16
Jul 18, 2021 1.30am
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Duncan Williams 10' goal
  • Duncan Williams 13' goal
  • Duncan Williams 16' goal
  • CJ Sapong 39' goal
  • Brian Anunga 62' goal
  • redcard Johan Kappelhof 14'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pineda 27'
  • goal Ignacio Aliseda 47'
  • yellowcard Miguel Navarro 49'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 23
Nov 1, 2020 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daniel Rios 28' goal
  • Dax McCarty 90' yellowcard
  • goal Boris Sekulic 42'
Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2020 3.30am
ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17