Major League Soccer
Apr 29, 2023 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Fabrice Picault 36' goal
  • Teal Bunbury 56' goal
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 90'+1' goal
  • goal Thiago Almada 72'

Nashville SC vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 23, 2023 1.30am
Nashville 1 - 1 Los Angeles
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Duncan Williams

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 23, 2023 9.30pm
Atlanta 2 - 1 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Giorgos Giakoumakis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result

Nashville SC 51.29%
Draw 24.12%
Atlanta United 24.58% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.16%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.57%
Under 2.5 47.43%
Over 3.5 30.35%
Under 3.5 69.64% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 14.92%
Under 4.5 85.08%

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 81.5%
Under 0.5 18.49% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.29%
Under 1.5 49.71% (-0.01)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 66.45%
Under 0.5 33.55%
Over 1.5 29.81% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 70.19%

Score analysis

Nashville SC 51.29%
Draw 24.12%
Atlanta United 24.58%
Nashville SC
1-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 4.97%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 51.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.12%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 6.78%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 24.58%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 22, 2022 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • CJ Sapong 25' goal
  • Duncan Williams 32' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 59' yellowcard
  • CJ Sapong 72' yellowcard
  • Alex Muyl 82' yellowcard
  • Ethan Zubak 83' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Almada 27'
  • yellowcard Franco Ibarra 34'
  • goal Dom Dwyer 88'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 27
Aug 28, 2021 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ezequiel Barco 37' yellowcard
  • Amar Sejdic 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Lovitz 26'
  • goal Daniel Rios 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Brian Anunga 75'
  • goal Randall Leal 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Randall Leal 90'+6'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 15
Jul 9, 2021 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jalil Anibaba 14' goal
  • Randall Leal 28' yellowcard
  • Duncan Williams 49' goal
  • Luke Haakenson 82' yellowcard
  • Dax McCarty 89' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Walkes 5'
  • yellowcard Tyler Wolff 39'
  • yellowcard Santiago Sosa 44'
  • yellowcard Erick Torres 47'
  • goal Jackson Conway 59'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Moreno 67'
  • redcard Jake Mulraney 74'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 9
May 29, 2021 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marcelino Moreno 6' goal
  • Marcelino Moreno 41' yellowcard
  • Erik Lopez 52' goal
  • yellowcard Dax McCarty 57'
  • yellowcard Daniel Lovitz 60'
  • goal Duncan Williams 80'
  • goal Duncan Williams 83'
  • yellowcard Luke Haakenson 90'+2'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 11
Sep 13, 2020 1.30am
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Dominique Badji 1' goal
  • Duncan Williams 28' goal
  • Dax McCarty 36' goal
  • Abu Danladi 57' goal
  • goal Jeff Larentowicz 19'
  • goal George Bello 61'
  • yellowcard Eric Remedi 63'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
Aug 23, 2020 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Brooks Lennon 6' yellowcard
  • Anton Walkes 28' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Martinez 40' goal
  • George Bello 78' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Martinez 87' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Lovitz 48'