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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
New York City

Orlando City
1 - 1
NY City

Kara (7')
Smith (33'), McGuire (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Segal (89')
Chanot (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-0 NY City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-0 New York City FC

Orlando City's disappointing home record, coupled with New York City's poor form on their travels, makes this a very tough match to call, but we expect the hosts to eke out a narrow victory. The Lions managed to win their last match on home soil, while the Pigeons have recorded two draws and five defeats in seven matches, and there have been no recent signs of improvement.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
44.48% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 25.95% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 29.58% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35% (0.178 0.18)51.66% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (0.154 0.15)73.44% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (0.090000000000003 0.09)23.14% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99% (0.13 0.13)57.01% (-0.126 -0.13)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14% (0.10599999999999 0.11)31.86% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7% (0.121 0.12)68.3% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 44.48%
    New York City FC 29.58%
    Draw 25.95%
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.48%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.58%

How you voted: Orlando City vs NY City

Orlando City
57.1%
Draw
42.9%
New York City FC
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Aug 29, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
NY City
Urso (7'), Akindele (90+6')
Carlos (50')
Moralez (53')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
gameweek 19
NY City
5-0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
May 8, 2021 11pm
gameweek 6
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Nani (52')
Smith (34')
Castellanos (77' pen.)
Sands (64')
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
First Round
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Orlando City win 4-3 on penalties
Nani (5' pen.)
Carlos (71'), Ruan (77'), Jansson (90+4'), Perea (90+6'), Gallese (103')
Ruan (87')
Chanot (8')
Castellanos (70'), Mackay-Steven (88'), Ibeagha (120+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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