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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
New York City

Orlando City
1 - 1
NY City

Kara (7', 7')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Segal (89', 89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Orlando City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-0 NY City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
44.48% (0.027999999999999 0.03)25.95% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)29.58% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.35% (0.178 0.18)51.66% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (0.154 0.15)73.44% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (0.090000000000003 0.09)23.14% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99% (0.13 0.13)57.01% (-0.126 -0.13)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14% (0.10599999999999 0.11)31.86% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7% (0.121 0.12)68.3% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 44.48%
    New York City FC 29.58%
    Draw 25.95%
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.48%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.58%

How you voted: Orlando City vs NY City

Orlando City
57.1%
Draw
42.9%
New York City FC
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
NY City
2-1
Orlando City
Callens (66'), Magno (81')
Torres (47')
Araujo (57')
Aug 29, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
NY City
Urso (7'), Akindele (90+6')
Carlos (50')
Moralez (53')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
gameweek 19
NY City
5-0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
May 8, 2021 11pm
gameweek 6
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Nani (52')
Smith (34')
Castellanos (77' pen.)
Sands (64')
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
First Round
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
 Orlando City win 4-3 on penalties
Nani (5' pen.)
Carlos (71'), Ruan (77'), Jansson (90+4'), Perea (90+6'), Gallese (103')
Ruan (87')
Chanot (8')
Castellanos (70'), Mackay-Steven (88'), Ibeagha (120+2')