Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Orlando City |
| 53.86% ( | 23.77% | 22.37% |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.9% ( | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( | 70.26% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% | 17.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.52% | 48.48% |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% ( | 35.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.32% ( | 72.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.75% 2-0 @ 9.52% 3-1 @ 5.62% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.55% Total : 53.86% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.54% 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.88% Total : 22.37% |