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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
Orlando City

Minnesota Utd
1 - 2
Orlando City

Hlongwane (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Angulo (66'), McGuire (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-2 Nashville
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawOrlando City
52.13% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)23.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)23.9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39%69.61% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)18.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)49.14% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)34.12% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19% (0.009999999999998 0.01)70.81% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 52.13%
    Orlando City 23.9%
    Draw 23.96%
Minnesota UnitedDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.02% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 52.13%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 23.9%

Head to Head
May 10, 2020 12.30am
Aug 18, 2019 1am
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Orlando City
Danladi (92')
Gregus (32'), Gasper (63'), Opara (70')
Nani (70' pen.)
Dwyer (57')
Mar 11, 2018 12.30am
Orlando City
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Yotun (42' pen.)
Laryea (56')
Finlay (12', 79')
Schuller (88'), Toye (94')
May 28, 2017 1am
Minnesota Utd
1-0
Orlando City
Ramirez (56')
Venegas (38'), Cronin (66'), Jome (76'), Burch (81'), Ibarra (91')