Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Orlando City |
| 52.13% ( | 23.97% ( | 23.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% ( | 47.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.39% | 69.61% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( | 18.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.86% ( | 49.14% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( | 34.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% ( | 70.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.44% Total : 52.13% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.2% Total : 23.9% |